The deep depression over the north Andaman Sea and adjoining the southeast Bay of Bengal was centered around 8.30 am today, about 120 kilometers southeast of Mayabundar (Andaman Islands) and 560 kilometers south-southwest of Yangon, according to the India Meteorological Department (IMD) (Myanmar). During the following 12 hours, Cyclone Asani Route is expected to strengthen much more and become a cyclonic storm.
Cyclone Asani Route
Cyclone Asani is expected to make landfall on Myanmar’s coast on March 23 due to the strengthening of the depression into a deep depression over the Andaman Sea and adjacent to the southeast Bay of Bengal this morning.
It was predicted that the storm would continue to travel almost northward along and off the Andaman Islands towards Myanmar’s coast for the next 48 hours. According to an IMD special advisory issued today, it would pass the Myanmar shore around Thandwe on March 23.
The storm is expected to reach the southeast Bay of Bengal in the next 12 hours, where it will intensify into a depression. As a result, the system will intensify further and eventually develop into a cyclonic storm over the eastern portion of the Bay of Bengal by Sunday evening.
When the cyclone forms, it will be given the name ‘Asani.’ The name was provided by Sri Lanka, and it translates as ‘wrath’ in the Sinhala language.
The exact track and maximum intensity of Asani are still being determined. Yet, preliminary predictions suggest that it will continue to move northwestward once it has intensified into a cyclone and will edge toward the west-central Bay of Bengal – off the coasts of northern and eastern Andhra Pradesh and Odisha – by next Tuesday, May 10.
Cyclone Asani Route Path
Asani’s movement will bring heavy rainfall and downpours, followed by just heavy showers for the next 24 hours throughout the Andaman and Nicobar Islands.
Residents have been advised to avoid traveling into flood-prone regions because of the extreme sea conditions. In contrast, the Andaman and Nicobar Islands government has been urged to cease fishing and tourist operations on the islands fully.
According to the International Meteorological Department, the region will be battered by winds of 40-50 kmph, with gusts as high as 60 mph in some areas. The Andaman Sea and the southeast Bay of Bengal should remain closed to fishing for the next three days; the east-central Bay of Bengal should be kept closed for the next four days, and the west-central and northwest Bays of Bengal should be closed for Tuesday and Wednesday next week.
Meanwhile, torrential rains are likely to begin hammering Odisha as early as next Tuesday, May 10, with similar conditions also expected in the neighboring states of Gangetic Bengal and Andhra Pradesh, according to forecasts.
According to the National Weather Service, the system’s indirect impact will be felt across Northeast India, which will see severe downpours beginning on Monday.
Overall, as the Asani system matures and moves closer to the Indian mainland, its influence on East India will become more apparent.
Cyclone Asani Route Path Predictions
Forecasters forecast that the cyclonic storm will strengthen into a deep depression before transitioning to a cyclonic storm later on Monday afternoon. Cyclone Asani is expected to make landfall in the Andaman and Nicobar Islands on March 21; learn what the name ‘Asani’ means and where it came from.
On Monday, Mohapatra predicted that the weather system would travel almost northward along and off the Andaman Islands, towards Myanmar and the adjacent south Bangladesh coast.
According to a special bulletin issued by the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), the depression over the southeast Bay of Bengal and the adjoining south Andaman Sea was moving north-northeastwards at 12 kmph. According to the bulletin, it was centered at 17.30 hours (5.30 pm) IST on Sunday over the north Andaman Sea.
Cyclone Asani Route Path Updates
For March 21 and 22, the Indian Meteorological Department has forecast thunderstorms with mild to moderate rain in scattered locations throughout Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, and the Karaikal region. However, according to the meteorological office, isolated areas throughout Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, and the Karaikal region are anticipated to experience mild to moderate rainfall from March 23 to March 25.
The Home Ministry has sent National Disaster Response Force (NDRF) teams to several locations, each equipped with the required equipment to conduct search and rescue operations. In addition, more teams are available and will be flown if necessary.